Twelve months, twelve different safaris. Real weather averages, where the migration actually is, and how much company (and cost) to expect — so you can pick dates on evidence, not a vague sense of "dry season good, wet season bad."
Day / night temperatures, average rainfall, where the migration is, and how busy and expensive it tends to be. Tap any month below for the full picture.
| Month | Day / night °C | Avg. rainfall | Migration zone | Crowds | Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 28° / 15° | 81mm | Ndutu & Southern Serengeti | Mid | Mid |
| February | 28° / 15° | 100mm | Ndutu & Southern Serengeti | High | High |
| March | 28° / 15° | 121mm | Southern Serengeti, spreading toward Ngorongoro & Loliondo | Low | Low |
| April | 26° / 16° | 137mm | Moru Kopjes & Seronera (central Serengeti) | Low | Low |
| May | 25° / 15° | 68mm | Seronera toward the Western Corridor | Low | Low |
| June | 25° / 13° | 23mm | Western Corridor, gathering to cross the Grumeti River | Mid | Mid |
| July | 25° / 13° | 9mm | Pushing north toward Kogatende & the far north | High | High |
| August | 26° / 14° | 19mm | Kogatende & northern Serengeti, into the Masai Mara | High | High |
| September | 27° / 14° | 34mm | Northern Serengeti into the Masai Mara | High | High |
| October | 28° / 15° | 51mm | Drifting back — north-eastern Serengeti & the Masai Mara | Mid | Mid |
| November | 27° / 15° | 100mm | Drifting south through eastern Serengeti | Low | Mid |
| December | 27° / 15° | 97mm | South-eastern Serengeti, Ndutu & northern Ngorongoro | High | High |
Averages for the Serengeti / northern circuit. Southern parks such as Ruaha and Mikumi run hotter and follow a simpler single dry season (June–October) and single wet season (November–May).
Five months that swing from a dry, calving-season lull to the heaviest rain of the year. This is when the Serengeti is at its most photogenic and least crowded — if you pick the right weeks within it.
Dry interlude · calving begins
The migration has settled into the short-grass plains around Ndutu, where the tail end of the short rains left nutrient-rich grazing. Days are warm and mostly dry — a genuine lull between two rainy seasons — and calving begins in earnest toward month’s end.
Dry interlude · peak calving
This is peak calving month: close to half a million wildebeest are born on the Ndutu plains within a few weeks, drawing in every predator for miles. Weather holds dry and warm, making it one of the best windows of the year for serious wildlife photography.
Long rains arriving
The first long-rain showers arrive as calving winds down, and the herds begin drifting from Ndutu toward the Ngorongoro and Loliondo margins. Afternoons turn cloudier and greener, and both crowds and rates start to ease.
Long rains · heaviest month
This is the wettest month anywhere in the Serengeti ecosystem, and several camps close for their annual refurbishment. The herds keep moving north through Moru Kopjes and Seronera regardless — it’s simply a quieter, considerably cheaper way to see them.
Long rains easing
Rain tapers off through the month as the herds gather in central Serengeti ahead of their push into the Western Corridor. Landscapes are at their greenest, and this remains one of the best-value months on the calendar.
Five months of firm ground, long views and the migration’s most famous act — the Mara River crossings. It’s also when Tanzania is busiest and priciest, so early booking matters more than in any other stretch.
Dry season begins
The dry season sets in fast: tracks firm up, dust returns, and nights turn noticeably cooler. The herds gather in the Western Corridor to cross the Grumeti River — an under-visited warm-up act for the Mara crossings still to come.
Peak dry season
The first Mara River crossings begin in the remote far north, with cool, cloudless days and some of the clearest light of the year. Demand climbs quickly as word spreads that the action has started.
Peak dry season
This is the Serengeti at its most famous: daily river crossings, dramatic and unpredictable, split between the northern Serengeti and Kenya’s Masai Mara. It’s also the busiest and most expensive month to be here.
Peak dry season
Crossings continue almost daily in the far north, and reliably dry weather makes every game drive straightforward. Demand stays high, though marginally less frantic than the August peak.
Dry season, quieter
The herds begin drifting back south and east as the dry season’s grip starts to loosen. Golden, dusty light and thinning crowds make this an underrated month on the calendar.
Two months that couldn’t be more different from each other: a quiet, green, storm-washed November, followed by a December that fills back up fast with holiday travellers.
Short rains begin
The short rains arrive in brief, dramatic afternoon storms that clear quickly and green the plains again. The herds drift south through the eastern Serengeti, and this remains one of the quietest, most affordable windows of the year — right up until the holiday rush begins.
Short rains ease · festive season
The circle closes as herds head back toward Ndutu and northern Ngorongoro, just in time for the next calving season. Holiday travellers push demand back up quickly, so book early if Christmas or New Year is your target.
Tell us what matters most — the crossings, calving, a quiet camp with no one else around, or simply the cheapest month that still delivers — and we’ll match it to real dates.
Talk to us about timing